The 2017 NFL Wild Card Round looks to be an interesting one, with a handful of the games projected to be close and some having a clear favorite set by Vegas. The Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers contest is one of the latter, Dolphins vs Steelers with the Steelers currently installed as the double-digit chalk. While Pittsburgh is certainly a superior squad on paper, it is going to be tough for bettors to lay that many points in a do-or-die postseason matchup.
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Instead of trying to select a team to beat the spread, it’s occasionally worth examining the total and deciding on the over or under in order to get some action on the contest and pick a winner. This seems to be one of those games, and expert handicapper Jon Price of has a lean on a direction to go in on Sunday. Let’s take a look at the odds and totals for every 2017 NFL Wild Card game, then check out his pick and accompanying analysis. dolphinsvsteelers.net/
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Never mind the fact the Dolphins laid the wood to the Steelers in a 30-15 rout in Miami earlier this season. Bettors are taking the Steelers in earnest as the two teams prepare for a rematch 1 p.m. Sunday at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh is favored by 9.5 points in that contest, the highest line the team has had in a playoff game in Mike Tomlin’s time as coach of the team.
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The Steelers have the advantage of health on the offensive side of the ball. For the first time ever, Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell will play a postseason game together. Injuries kept Bell out of each of the previous two playoff trips, and Brown missed last year’s AFC Divisional loss to the Broncos.
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The Dolphins are banged up on the defensive side, but perhaps more of a concern will be the health of quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Matt Moore has started for Miami since Tannehill injured his left knee last month.
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Miami (10-6) finished up the regular season with an ugly 14-35 loss at home to the Patriots. Not a surprising result, given NE needed to win to lock up the No. 1 seed and Miami was basically locked into the No. 6 seed. It was quite a season for the Dolphins, who most wrote off after a 1-4 start.
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Pittsburgh (11-5) escaped with a 27-24 overtime win at home against the Browns in Week 17. It was a meaningless game in terms of playoff position, as the Steelers were already locked into the No. 3 seed. Many of Pittsburgh’s top players didn’t even dress for the game. The Steelers are headed into the postseason riding a 7-game winning streak.
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These two teams met back in Week 6 at Miami. The Dolphins surprised everyone and dominated the Steelers in a 30-15 win as a 7-point dog. It was a turning point for both teams. That win sparked a 6-game winning streak for Miami and 4-game slide for Pittsburgh.
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